Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Not So Strong After All

Some time ago, I believe I predicted a downward revision:

The economy grew at a 2.8 percent rate last quarter -- less than originally estimated. And forecasts for the current quarter are for similarly slight growth before a drop-off next year.


That drop-off is coming sooner and harder than expected:

Major indexes were slightly lower Tuesday after the Conference Board said its Consumer Confidence Index rose to 49.5 in November from a revised reading of 48.7 in October. While better than expected, the report shows that consumers remain gloomy heading into the holiday season.


The markets are reacting sensibly, for once.