Friday, November 13, 2009

China Approaching Bubble Territory

China may be one of my favorite long-term bets, but articles like this make me think it's about to overheat in the short term:

China is doing what it can to expand domestic demand and rebalance its economy, President Hu Jintao said Friday, calling for renewed efforts to improve international financial oversight to prevent future crises.


There's other evidence that retail loan growth is getting to the point where the average Chinese consumer thinks they absolutely must max out their credit to avoid being left behind. That's the same mentality that inflated the U.S.'s housing bubble all the way until it burst in 2005-6.

I've been long FXI for a while, but soon I may start to take some money off the table.