Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Foolish Investors Pursue Fools' Gold

People fooling themselves about the economy? Nah, it couldn't be:

Consumers hoping that the worst of the recession is over may be setting themselves up for disappointment as the US economy continues to deteriorate, a panel of economists and financial experts said Tuesday.

Surging unemployment and the slow-moving impact of the government stimulus program will stall any real economic recovery until 2010 or even later, the panel said. Consumers fearful of losing their jobs are likely to continue to spend less while the housing and financial crises continue to unwind.


Oh yes it is true. At least someone gets it besides me:

The recent rise in stocks and talk about green shoots in the markets are optimistic assumptions, as the world downturn "still has a way to run," Hugh Hendry, Chief Investment Officer at Eclectica, told CNBC Tuesday.

World gross domestic product looks overestimated, because global consumption has been based on debt, and this cannot continue, Hendry told "Squawk Box Europe."


So when do I get to go on Squawk Box Europe? They know where to reach me. I could have told them this months ago. In fact, I did.